Theory of change / Barari Block / June 2026

From six lines of work to a block that delivers.

What we do on the ground, what it produces, what that changes for workers, and how the local system shifts. Read from the bottom up: each layer is the condition for the one above it.

The logic

Six levers to impact, in five layers.

Impact

Informal workers in Barari Block live with social security, collective strength and dignity

The model is ready to travel to other blocks of Katihar. Measured as the share of the engaged cohort reporting improved security across income, social protection and dignity, endline against baseline.

Systems change

Responsive delivery

Schemes reach the last mile, exclusion errors fall, and officials treat worker access as part of the job, not a favour.

A less fragmented field

Government, banks, community bodies and organisations coordinate instead of working past each other.

Worker institutions with standing

Collectives become recognised bodies in village governance with a continuing line to the administration.

Outcomes

1. Access to social security rises

Engaged workers enrolled in at least one scheme: 40% (year 1) to 80% (year 3). Workers receiving a pension or insurance benefit: 300 to 2,000.

2. Awareness and agency grow

Can name three or more entitlements: 50% to 85% of the cohort. Women reporting a greater say in household decisions: 25% to 60%.

3. Collectives get stronger

Active collectives meeting monthly: 70% to 90% of those formed. Collective-led actions: 20 to 150.

4. Livelihoods steady

Linked to a bank or formal credit: 30% to 70%. Reporting steadier income across the year: 20% to 50%.

Outputs

Workers reached and trained

2,000 (year 1) to 8,000 (year 3) reached. 40 to 150 trainings delivered.

Workers registered

1,000 to 5,000 registered on e-Shram or enrolled in a scheme.

Collectives formed

10 to 50 worker collectives formed and functioning.

Government engagement

15 to 60 structured engagements with the local administration.

Six levers

Knowledge and awareness

Village campaigns and plain-language materials on rights and schemes, pitched for low-literacy audiences.

Community organising

Forming and strengthening worker collectives, and backing leaders, with deliberate attention to women.

Data and tracking

A worker register recording who is enrolled in what, so follow-up is possible and double-counting is not.

Ecosystem capacity

Training frontline workers, local leaders and community organisations so capability stays in the block.

Resource convergence

Connecting workers to existing government schemes and banks rather than building parallel benefits.

Dialogue with the state

Regular worker-administration forums with feedback the administration can act on.

Key assumptions

Impact level
The social protection policy environment stays broadly supportive.
Outcome level
Schemes stay funded and portals function. Workers take part and respond honestly. Participation holds despite seasonal migration. Local labour and market conditions stay stable.
Output level
Community turnout stays high. Administrative processing works. Workers are willing to organise. Officials are open to engagement.
Load-bearing and watched
Willingness to organise is only partly in the programme's control and carries high load. The response is to start where appetite exists and let early groups demonstrate value to others.

The problem this answers

Schemes are not missing. Workers cannot reach them alone and have no collective weight. The Code on Social Security 2020 (in force 21 November 2025, rules pending) creates the legal promise, the registration route (e-Shram) is free and ready, and delivery in Barari is the gap.

Population base and denominators. Census 2011 counted 89,668 workers in Barari Block; the projected working universe today is 1.1 to 1.2 lakh. Reach is a count, with each worker counted once. Outcome percentages use the engaged cohort (reached workers who are enrolled, organised, or both) as the denominator.

Source: Act Now India, Theory of Change and Results Framework, June 2026. Figures drawn from the Census of India 2011 (Barari Block, sub-district 01153), the Ministry of Labour and Employment, and official scheme portals, current as of mid-2026. Page prepared July 2026.